The news about Ryan Braun testing positive for PEDs totally shocked me but for probably different reasons than most. Up until now, I was totally convinced that MLB obeyed the code of “Omertà” when it came to bankable superstars…Throwing expendable has-beens under the bus while green-lighting cash cows like Braun to put fannies in seats with Ruthian blasts and crooked numbers. Before Braun, I was totally convinced that MLB’s decision making process went something like this…especially on the Mitchell Report. The list goes from most to least “expendable”.
(1) Lowest on the food chain are retired journeymen who somehow got caught. The player list in the Mitchell Report is mostly made of of this flotsam. Way too many players to list here. One example in the report is Nook Logan. Remember him? Me neither. I always thought that these players were “outed” to satisfy the public’s lust for blood for some public hangings just like in the wild wild west. Well these players define expendable. In all honesty, they probably did ‘roids mostly to hang on to MLB positions as opposed to breaking all-time home run records. In that regard, they are maybe the most forgivable of the group.
(2) Next are active “Rank-and-File” players. J.C. Romero is a perfect example of this type of player. Prior to the 2009 season, Romero was suspended 50 games for testing positive for androstenedione, a performance-enhancing drug banned by MLB. “Rank-and-File” players will never compete for awards, have no endorsements at stake and of course will only get to Cooperstown by buying an all day pass. These players take a seat for 50 games, then continue living the dream. Who wouldn’t take that trade-off?
(3) Next are retired “Name Brand” players. Chuck Knoblauch and Eric Gagne are great examples of this type of player. Both players had significant achievements and MLB careers. They also faded into total obscurity upon leaving the game. MLB felt totally comfortable naming these names because (A) they’re retired, (B) they aren’t going to sniff Cooperstown and (C) they have no following whatsoever. In other words, the sound of one hand clapping from a revenue and PR standpoint. Again, these players were offered up on the Mitchell Report to lend “legitimacy” to the report with no real consequence to MLB nor the ex-player.
(4) Active “Name Brand” players come next. This group includes Jason Giambi (The Sultan of Shot) and Miguel Tejada. These players were former MVPs who were on the back 9 of their careers and without their syringes, were 5 putting on 17. Their performance declines were so steep that they were embarrassing MLB and making a mockery of their awards. Begging to be exposed, baseball obliged. It wasn’t such a bad deal because it gave the player a chance to hug the public’s leg for forgiveness (which Giambi did). America loves a great confession, so being outed was actually a great career move for Giambi who somehow emerged as a sympathetic figure.
(5) Finally we have the highest in this rogues gallery, the Scapegoats. This group, not dissimilar to Lex Luthor, the Riddler or the Joker of DC Comics fame, all had “anti-hero” status while playing. Roger Clemens (The B-12 Rocket) and Barry Bonds (Barroid) are charter members of this un-esteemed group. In MLB’s calculus, these players had done more damage to their reps through their own antics than PED allegations, lawsuits and maybe even a little time inside could ever do. Worst of all, they defied the baseball gods (Selig?) and were un-repentant. They needed to be taught a lesson. Baseball offered these names up with surgical precision…evaluating the cost to the game in revenue and publicity vs. gains in street cred.
Notice anyone missing from the above? How about “Name Brand Superstars” like Pujols, Jeter, and Verlander. And “Young Guns” like Kershaw, Longoria, and Ellsbury. These players are inside the velvet rope and off-limits. Or so I thought.
From 2007 when the Mitchell Report came out until 2009, you could take my theory to the bank. But maybe that wasn’t enough to satisfy the politicians. Because in 2009, we had the first player to blow a hole in my well-thought out PED conspiracy theory…my old friend Mr. Aroid. Aroid was the very definition of the Name Brand Superstar…And he was arguably the lead revenue generator for the highest grossing team in Baseball. In other words, the kind of player that MLB and the Mitchell report had previously avoided with extreme prejudice. His career trajectory had him right up there with Ruth, Aaron and Mays…but also Bonds and McGuire. And maybe because MLB had already dealt with the devil when they allowed Barroid to eclipse Ruth, they decided to not repeat history with Aroid. So they hung him at high noon. Problem was, given my antipathy for Aroid, I didn’t see that as a trend breaker. But now with Ryan Braun, we have a situation that obliterates my theory. We now have clearly moved on to a new era in PED testing…zero tolerance.
Ryan Braun is the essence of the Name Brand Superstar and his outing has me believing that baseball will expose anyone at this point. I have to believe they’d even go for Mt. Rushmore players like Jeter if it came down to it. What I can’t figure out is why the about face? Seems to me that in the 5 years since the Mitchell report was released, baseball has somehow determined that no player is off limits, revenue be damned. Why? the public doesn’t seem to give a damn, paying staggering ticket prices and flooding ballparks like never before. The only plausible explanation is this…that MLB flying high from one of the best season’s in memory, felt that now was the time to strike fear in every would-be cheater by taking down the biggest pelt of the Post-Mitchell era. So given this new reality, lets move on to the suspect himself, Mr. Braun.
One thing that struck me in the past few days is the staggering amount of revenue at stake in Braun’s career. The Brewers believed so much in Braun last April that they extended his contract through 2020, even though he was already signed through 2015. The new deal – five years, $105-million (U.S.) – effectively made Braun a partner with the Brewers’ owner, Mark Attanasio. One thing I have not been able to track down is whether Braun has a “morals clause” in his contract voiding it for conduct detrimental to the team. If so, then a positive test puts it at risk. If not, then the $105 million is not really in jeopardy for Braun. But a boatload of money is at risk for Braun’s business partner, Mr. Attanasio if millions of disillusioned Brewers fans start showing up at Miller Park disguised as empty seats. And that brings us to the end game…
With so much at stake, why would Braun and his business partner Attanasio risk a positive test? There are only a few possible scenarios:
(1) Braun Took PEDs thinking he had “immunity”: Despite all the public noise about Braun being “clean”, this one is not that hard to for me to swallow. Braun had a downturn in 2010 with his lowest HR (25) total and RBI (103) total of any full season in his career. For a guy shooting to be recognized as the best player in baseball, those numbers don’t cut it. Braun wouldn’t be the first player to feel that he was competing with juicers so why not level the playing field. He also had to believe that as a “white hat” star, he was inside the velvet rope.
(2) Braun Innocently took an OTC product that triggered the high testosterone levels: According to numerous reports, Braun’s testosterone levels were the highest on record. Somehow that doesn’t seem to track with accidently taking an OTC supplement. Let’s say for a second that its true. That makes Braun and Attanasio MORONs. If you had upwards of $200 million at stake, would you risk it all for some powder that you got at the local GNC? No you wouldn’t. Because you couldn’t have possibly read this far without Mensa level intellect.
(3) The Test was a False Positive: This is a complete non-starter. The testing process used by MLB has better technology than NASA.
Out of the three, I’m going with number 1. Just like our prisons are filled with innocent men and women, I’ve yet to hear a player admit that they were juicing upon capture. I think Braun was taking something to improve his performance and given his status as a Top-5 Stud, never dreamt that he’d get exposed. He was living a Mitchell era fantasy. Braun and everyone else will now have to adjust their clocks to 1 A.B. (After Braun). It’s a whole new era and no cheater is safe.